This is the same scenario as this but with weights applied to each number to account for their percent within the total population of occurences within the sample.
Our Criteria here: Win - a given team wins the game if they were losing/tied (in this order) in extra innings, 9th, 8th or 7th inning. Loss - a given team loses the game when they were winning/tied in extra innings, 9th, 8th, or 8th inning.
ZScore: is based on the population standard deviation and mean here. It tells you how many standard deviations from the mean you are. For wins, a positive ZScore is what you want as that relfects "you came back to win more than others". So 1.5 is better than 0.5. For the loss, a negative ZScore is what you want as that reflects "you did not lose your leads like others around the mean". So -1.5 is better than -0.5
"Which team in the NL Central had the BEST improvement between the first half of the season and the second half of the season between 2013 and 2019 with late inning rallies and late inning losses.
From July to the end of regular season:
Best: St. Louis Cardinals 1.60
The figures based on this time frame (2013-2019)
Green: Most improved "devil magic" NL team in the 2nd half of the season in this division
Second Half ZScore improvement over First Half:
Team ZScoreImprovement
25 SLN 1.602705
21 PIT 1.296668
7 CIN -0.133071
6 CHN -0.199976
15 MIL -0.236374
Team ZScoreImprovement 2ndHalfImprovement 1stHalfImprovement
25 SLN 1.602705 1.464856 -0.245067
21 PIT 1.296668 1.320554 -0.064901
7 CIN -0.133071 -1.183706 -1.020249
6 CHN -0.199976 -0.465921 -0.245067
15 MIL -0.236374 -0.066560 0.185358
Team Disp1stHalfLIW Disp1stHalfLIL Disp2ndHalfLIW Disp2ndHalfLIL
25 SLN 57 61 76 55
21 PIT 62 63 72 52
7 CIN 58 73 49 68
6 CHN 57 61 59 66
15 MIL 61 58 62 63
Weighted..
Team 1stHalfLIW 1stHalfLIL 2ndHalfLIW 2ndHalfLIL
25 SLN 1.686916 1.931983 3.075612 1.610756
21 PIT 1.995846 2.060748 2.760383 1.439830
7 CIN 1.746625 2.766874 1.278488 2.462194
6 CHN 1.686916 1.931983 1.853568 2.319489
15 MIL 1.931983 1.746625 2.046858 2.113419
Team 1stHalfW 1stHalfL 2ndHalfW 2ndHalfL
25 SLN 305 255 330 244
21 PIT 289 273 295 276
7 CIN 260 303 248 323
6 CHN 292 267 318 258
15 MIL 285 284 283 283The data file can be found here
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