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Clutch Study: wOBA late inn 2nd half season improvement over 1st half season

Scenario:Compare teams "2nd half of season late inning (7th inning on) wOBA improvement over their 1st half of the season in the late innings when playing at home". How much better (or worse) did each team do during the time frames?


How to read these ZScores: Blue = 1st half of the season at Home. Orange = 1st half of the season on the road. Green: 2nd half of the season at Home. Red = 2nd half of the season on the road.

So what can you can infer from below (and apply to other teams) is "if the green bar is taller than the blue bar, then the team improved at home in late inning OBP. Otherwise, they declined in the 2nd half. If the red bar is > orange bar, then they improved on the road in the late inning OBP in the 2nd half. Otherwise they declined".




The widest gap between green and blue is the winner. In the case of the Cardinals, you can say their home record (green over blue) was astonishing. As for their road record, it's good (red over orange) but but as dramatic as their home record

The figures based on this time frame (2004-2019)

If analyzing this, it's worth noting that the Mile High climate may cause the Colorado spike as that stadium has (as others have said) influenced offensive numbers. For the other stadiums, it's not the case. Also worth noting, the Yankees and Red Sox tend to drop in the 2nd half whereas the Cardinals, Rockies and Pirates spiked upwards in the 2nd half.

Team  ZScoresHomeImprove  ZScoresRoadImprove
25  SLN            2.124713           -0.137284
9   COL            1.777065            0.814774
21  PIT            1.508736           -2.314914
29  WAS            1.309513            0.263071
5   CHA            1.197203           -0.337072
22  SDN            1.019582           -1.288350
0   ANA            0.965325            0.596310
1   ARI            0.911068           -0.439203
17  NYA            0.302515            0.898228
14  MIA            0.287834            0.974292
11  HOU            0.211806            0.027488
16  MIN            0.106753            2.023228
19  OAK           -0.030956           -0.225992
12  KCA           -0.038213            0.151991
23  SEA           -0.070868           -0.545808
10  DET           -0.099727            0.018539
8   CLE           -0.208409            2.116410
26  TBA           -0.226551           -0.448151
13  LAN           -0.230179           -0.839557
18  NYN           -0.400543            1.174080
20  PHI           -0.454800           -0.257313
24  SFN           -0.592509            0.263071
15  MIL           -0.664907            1.649719
27  TEX           -0.759076           -0.799288
3   BAL           -0.769961           -0.301277
4   BOS           -0.918387           -1.319671
2   ATL           -0.998211           -0.839557
6   CHN           -1.425683           -0.443677
28  TOR           -1.635790           -1.279402
7   CIN           -2.197343            0.845315
   Team  Home1stHf  Road1stHf  Home2ndHf  Road2ndHf
25  SLN      317.0      319.0      337.0      0.318
9   COL      345.0      287.0      361.0      0.293
21  PIT      302.0      315.0      317.0      0.295
29  WAS      309.0      307.0      322.0      0.309
5   CHA      309.0      312.0      321.0      0.309
22  SDN      291.0      318.0      302.0      0.307
0   ANA      307.0      310.0      317.0      0.315
1   ARI      323.0      309.0      332.0      0.305
17  NYA      341.0      320.0      344.0      0.328
14  MIA      306.0      303.0      310.0      0.311
11  HOU      316.0      308.0      319.0      0.308
16  MIN      318.0      301.0      320.0      0.318
19  OAK      311.0      313.0      312.0      0.311
12  KCA      309.0      306.0      310.0      0.307
23  SEA      300.0      307.0      301.0      0.302
10  DET      323.0      310.0      323.0      0.310
8   CLE      324.0      306.0      323.0      0.324
26  TBA      319.0      311.0      318.0      0.307
13  LAN      318.0      321.0      317.0      0.314
18  NYN      302.0      310.0      300.0      0.320
20  PHI      318.0      320.0      315.0      0.318
24  SFN      311.0      307.0      307.0      0.309
15  MIL      322.0      307.0      317.0      0.321
27  TEX      327.0      312.0      321.0      0.305
3   BAL      324.0      304.0      318.0      0.301
4   BOS      345.0      325.0      337.0      0.314
2   ATL      323.0      321.0      315.0      0.314
6   CHN      329.0      310.0      317.0      0.306
28  TOR      333.0      316.0      319.0      0.305
7   CIN      333.0      306.0      314.0      0.313



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