Please see Disclaimer here regarding all of the results contained within all pages.https://baseballfan999.wixsite.com/baseballdat/post/the-source-of-all-of-the-data
Our Criteria here: Win - a given team wins the game if they were losing/tied (in this order) in extra innings, 9th, 8th or 7th inning. Loss - a given team loses the game when they were winning/tied in extra innings, 9th, 8th, or 8th inning.
ZScore: is based on the population standard deviation and mean here. It tells you how many standard deviations from the mean you are. For wins, a positive ZScore is what you want as that relfects "you came back to win more than others". So 1.5 is better than 0.5. For the loss, a negative ZScore is what you want as that reflects "you did not lose your leads like others around the mean". So -1.5 is better than -0.5
"Which team in the Major Leagues had the BEST improvement between the first half of the season and the second half of the season between 1996 and 2019 with late inning rallies and late inning losses.
From July to the end of regular season:
NL
2nd half inn Rally wins improvement over first half: St. Louis Cardinals: 2.57
2nd half late inn losses: Atlanta Braves: -1.44
Note: the Braves did well during the regular season. This just reflects that they did not need to come back from behind nearly as much in the 2nd half.
AL
2nd half inn Rally wins improvement over first half: Texas Rangers: 1.39
2nd half late inn losses: Chicago White Sox -1.72
If you want to see the significance again of the ZScore and what it can be telling you, please see:https://baseballfan999.wixsite.com/baseballdat/post/what-does-the-zscore-tell-you Note: We did take the league change where the Houston switched leagues after 2012 so their figures from 2013 on were not included. We also treat Montreal as WSH.
The difference in won loss spread ((late inn win)-(late inn loss)) between 1st/2nd half of season. Orange means "The games they won by late inning rallies - games they lost in the late innings". Blue means "The games they won by late inning rallies - the games they lost in the late innings". Postive values are always good. The 2nd half surge has helped many teams get into many playoffs during this period.Focus on the Orange
The most improved team in the 2nd half "over their first half" with respect to late inning wins.
Figures based on this time frame (1996-2019)
Green: Most improved "devil magic" NL and AL teams in the 2nd half of the season
Red: Most declined in the NL and AL teams in the 2nd half of the season
Second Half ZScore improvement over First Half:
Team ZScoreTotalImprovement
0 BAL -1.206973
1 NYA 0.739551
2 BOS 0.654177
3 HOU 0.593348
4 MIL -0.162210
5 MIN -0.237980
6 DET 0.822791
7 CHA -1.724552
8 CLE 0.141934
9 KCA -1.094920
10 TEX 1.386258
11 OAK 0.283868
12 CIN -0.030948
13 SLN 2.563351
14 PIT -1.196302
15 CHN -0.312682
16 SFN -0.306279
17 SDN -1.378788
18 LAN -0.513310
19 PHI 0.377779
20 NYN 1.470565
21 ATL -1.447087
22 TOR -0.608289
23 SEA -0.223039
24 ANA 0.038418
25 WAS 0.094978
26 COL 1.840874
27 MIA 0.660580
28 TBA -0.114188
29 ARI -1.110928
Total wins and Late Inn rally wins for first half and second half of season
Team FirstHalfTotW FirstHalfLateW SecondHalfTotW SecondHalfLateW
0 BAL 895 213 901 189
1 NYA 1094 209 1192 236
2 BOS 1066 218 1075 233
3 HOU 954 209 1032 220
4 MIL 936 208 935 219
5 MIN 942 218 965 217
6 DET 882 198 895 195
7 CHA 958 217 962 193
8 CLE 979 206 1063 215
9 KCA 829 206 879 187
10 TEX 994 191 975 196
11 OAK 970 245 1063 224
12 CIN 911 226 945 222
13 SLN 1022 196 1109 253
14 PIT 885 216 887 196
15 CHN 927 213 998 203
16 SFN 997 245 1012 255
17 SDN 912 254 935 211
18 LAN 1033 242 1086 248
19 PHI 914 217 1010 238
20 NYN 956 216 996 253
21 ATL 1056 265 1085 226
22 TOR 951 205 970 208
23 SEA 979 219 946 233
24 ANA 1009 229 1022 231
25 WAS 932 230 957 218
26 COL 915 184 921 217
27 MIA 894 208 914 213
28 TBA 820 195 866 196
29 ARI 888 213 875 191
Total losses and Late Inn losses for first half and second half of season
Team FirstHalfTotL FirstHalfLateL SecondHalfTotL SecondHalfLateL
0 BAL 1005 206 1088 210
1 NYA 787 165 813 179
2 BOS 841 198 905 200
3 HOU 975 230 927 226
4 MIL 973 218 1043 232
5 MIN 955 200 1026 206
6 DET 1008 229 1099 205
7 CHA 940 206 1028 222
8 CLE 914 205 928 211
9 KCA 1063 229 1113 233
10 TEX 923 213 998 185
11 OAK 956 217 897 192
12 CIN 996 224 1039 221
13 SLN 885 223 871 220
14 PIT 1017 218 1095 225
15 CHN 972 240 991 235
16 SFN 924 209 954 229
17 SDN 1018 221 1024 212
18 LAN 894 202 875 223
19 PHI 992 224 971 236
20 NYN 949 239 986 241
21 ATL 866 202 879 201
22 TOR 979 228 988 243
23 SEA 939 221 1022 240
24 ANA 913 208 943 211
25 WAS 976 242 1021 227
26 COL 1005 227 1049 215
27 MIA 1023 247 1053 234
28 TBA 936 204 940 207
29 ARI 884 216 917 219
First and 2nd half improvement ZScores
Team FirstHalfImprovementZScores SecondHalfImprovementZScores
0 BAL 0.266 -0.865
1 NYA 1.675 2.368
2 BOS 0.761 1.374
3 HOU -0.799 -0.243
4 MIL -0.381 -0.533
5 MIN 0.685 0.462
6 DET -1.180 -0.409
7 CHA 0.419 -1.197
8 CLE 0.038 0.171
9 KCA -0.875 -1.901
10 TEX -0.837 0.462
11 OAK 1.066 1.332
12 CIN 0.076 0.047
13 SLN -1.028 1.374
14 PIT -0.076 -1.197
15 CHN -1.028 -1.321
16 SFN 1.370 1.083
17 SDN 1.256 -0.036
18 LAN 1.523 1.042
19 PHI -0.266 0.088
20 NYN -0.875 0.503
21 ATL 2.398 1.042
22 TOR -0.875 -1.445
23 SEA -0.076 -0.285
24 ANA 0.799 0.835
25 WAS -0.457 -0.368
26 COL -1.637 0.088
27 MIA -1.484 -0.865
28 TBA -0.343 -0.450
29 ARI -0.114 -1.155
Here's the input data generated by the custom program designed to extract the scenario.Apr includes March reg season games. Sept includes Oct reg season games. Montreal is included as WSH.
Team,AprW,AprL,MayW,MayL,JunW,JunL,JulW,JulL,AugW,AugL,SepW,SepL,TotAprW,TotAprL,TotMayW,TotMayL,TotJunW,TotJunL,TotJulW,TotJulL,TotAugW,TotAugL,TotSepW,TotSepL
BAL,77,49,70,86,66,71,60,64,61,65,68,81,295,296,307,354,293,355,284,340,315,365,302,383
NYA,66,59,70,58,73,48,84,49,75,63,77,67,340,245,376,282,378,260,385,240,406,288,401,285
BOS,78,60,72,63,68,75,75,66,79,63,79,71,336,255,378,293,352,293,340,286,375,303,360,316
HOU,69,64,66,90,74,76,63,68,86,80,71,78,291,310,336,345,327,320,318,302,360,320,354,305
MIL,64,65,76,83,68,70,72,80,67,70,80,82,294,304,320,351,322,318,292,349,311,353,332,341
MIN,67,54,76,92,75,54,68,68,67,70,82,68,286,299,327,336,329,320,321,308,323,361,321,357
DET,54,67,71,86,73,76,51,65,68,69,76,71,269,316,310,353,303,339,303,329,299,385,293,385
CHA,70,63,80,62,67,81,57,76,75,75,61,71,295,288,330,339,333,313,297,325,335,355,330,348
CLE,56,69,85,67,65,69,66,70,85,74,64,67,293,284,361,307,325,323,316,310,371,307,376,311
KCA,67,82,72,82,67,65,66,62,61,88,60,83,245,338,281,387,303,338,270,364,298,387,311,362
TEX,49,72,78,61,64,80,64,60,66,67,66,58,305,296,359,309,330,318,291,330,356,328,328,340
OAK,80,72,79,83,86,62,83,65,77,62,64,65,303,309,313,352,354,295,335,287,369,307,359,303
CIN,68,81,84,76,74,67,77,73,75,76,70,72,278,320,328,342,305,334,302,325,325,359,318,355
SLN,66,78,71,68,59,77,81,74,83,68,89,78,341,257,353,312,328,316,346,279,386,294,377,298
PIT,68,63,75,72,73,83,64,63,64,81,68,81,272,316,318,356,295,345,306,320,285,396,296,379
CHN,60,71,80,90,73,79,65,74,66,81,72,80,289,296,324,337,314,339,332,296,326,358,340,337
SFN,84,50,94,75,67,84,84,66,77,80,94,83,315,286,348,322,334,316,313,310,350,330,349,314
SDN,72,77,94,69,88,75,64,75,71,64,76,73,282,331,333,340,297,347,290,331,340,334,305,359
LAN,73,72,81,71,88,59,84,64,79,89,85,70,336,273,363,304,334,317,345,274,379,298,362,303
PHI,78,73,75,70,64,81,86,75,82,81,70,80,288,303,339,329,287,360,328,298,338,334,344,339
NYN,72,60,87,93,57,86,93,70,72,89,88,82,312,280,336,332,308,337,321,302,341,341,334,343
ATL,81,66,96,69,88,67,74,55,77,76,75,70,325,272,383,292,348,302,356,266,372,303,357,310
TOR,60,95,75,71,70,62,71,86,56,75,81,82,281,326,353,329,317,324,297,321,324,347,349,320
SEA,80,66,68,83,71,72,73,87,81,71,79,82,316,290,320,345,343,304,296,330,325,350,325,342
ANA,64,75,87,76,78,57,70,66,71,76,90,69,301,306,357,314,351,293,334,286,340,337,348,320
WAS,78,72,73,97,79,73,58,84,69,69,91,74,288,311,324,348,320,317,277,344,339,344,341,333
COL,59,64,67,83,58,80,55,69,87,69,75,77,294,301,308,362,313,342,276,350,321,359,324,340
MIA,67,88,72,83,69,76,67,73,77,78,69,83,274,323,307,367,313,333,308,314,293,379,313,360
TBA,61,65,71,80,63,59,47,62,81,70,68,75,258,290,284,332,278,314,266,301,314,307,286,332
ARI,71,67,73,79,69,70,56,69,67,65,68,85,290,275,305,310,293,299,269,297,313,304,293,316
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