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Comeback Wins and Blown Lead Losses - AL 2012-2019 with weights

Updated: Feb 24, 2020

This is the same scenario as this but with weights applied to each number to account for their percent within the total population of occurences within the sample.



"You're losing the game at one point but come from behind and win -or- you're winning the game at one point but end up losing. Which team in the AL had the BEST improvement between the first half of the season and the second half of the season between 2012 and 2019? A positive value indicates the team did better. A negative value, the team did worse.

From the July to the end of the season The best team:

Seattle Mariners ZScore: 1.15



If you want to see the significance again of the ZScore and what it can be telling you, please see:https://baseballfan999.wixsite.com/baseballdat/post/what-does-the-zscore-tell-you Most improved Team in 2nd half of season compared to their first half with comeback wins.








The figures based on this time frame 2012-2019

Green = Most improved AL "devil magic" team in 2nd half of season


Second Half ZScore improvement over First Half:
    Team  ZScoreImprovement
23  SEA           1.152243
19  OAK           1.148594
12  KCA           1.104218
0   ANA           1.063850
26  TBA           0.652758
3   BAL           0.451852
10  DET           0.232887
28  TOR          -0.073995
16  MIN          -0.301145
5   CHA          -0.409104
8   CLE          -0.590368
27  TEX          -0.693890
17  NYA          -0.930328
4   BOS          -1.391540
11  HOU          -2.733371


   Team  ZScoreImprovement  2ndHalfImprovement  1stHalfImprovement
23  SEA           1.152243            0.540214           -0.878873
19  OAK           1.148594            0.513274           -0.901317
12  KCA           1.104218            0.751467           -0.608472
0   ANA           1.063850            0.680375           -0.629848
26  TBA           0.652758           -0.102466           -0.906394
3   BAL           0.451852           -0.201607           -0.758101
10  DET           0.232887           -0.702137           -0.988957
28  TOR          -0.073995            0.168243            0.259374
16  MIN          -0.301145           -0.753846           -0.382961
5   CHA          -0.409104           -0.759623           -0.255776
8   CLE          -0.590368            0.236609            0.963698
27  TEX          -0.693890            0.625599            1.480185
17  NYA          -0.930328            1.323826            2.469605
4   BOS          -1.391540           -0.165750            1.548052
11  HOU          -2.733371           -1.849324            1.517057


   Team  Disp1stHalfCBW  Disp1stHalfBL  Disp2ndHalfCBW  Disp2ndHalfBL
23  SEA             112            126             123            113
19  OAK             115            129             129            120
12  KCA             111            121             133            120
0   ANA             115            125             121            108
26  TBA             107            122             116            118
3   BAL             114            126             111            115
10  DET             109            125             113            126
28  TOR             118            114             122            119
16  MIN             120            126             133            145
5   CHA             123            127             113            127
8   CLE             108             90             105            100
27  TEX             131            108             120            108
17  NYA             135             95             133            109
4   BOS             120             93             123            126
11  HOU             134            111              99            134
    1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
23    3.578887   4.529529    4.376338   3.692597
19    3.773181   4.747789    4.813711   4.164257
12    3.515264   4.177175    5.116864   4.164257
0     3.773181   4.457917    4.235175   3.373048
26    3.266476   4.246505    3.892392   4.026605
3     3.707846   4.529529    3.564073   3.824465
10    3.389729   4.457917    3.693665   4.591093
28    3.972611   3.707846    4.305467   4.095142
16    4.108417   4.529529    5.116864   6.080104
5     4.316405   4.601712    3.693665   4.664257
8     3.327817   2.310984    3.189181   2.891845
27    4.896148   3.327817    4.165461   3.373048
17    5.199715   2.574893    5.116864   3.435801
4     4.108417   2.467618    4.376338   4.591093
11    5.122967   3.515264    2.835117   5.192597

The data file can be found here

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