"You're losing the game at one point but come from behind and win -or- you're winning the game at one point but end up losing. Which team in the AL had the BEST improvement between the first half of the season and the second half of the season between 2012 and 2019? A positive value indicates the team did better. A negative value, the team did worse.
From the July to the end of the season
The best team: Kansas City Royals ZScore: 1.75
The worst team: Houston Astros - ZScore: -3.082 (even tho they started in 2013)
If you want to see the significance again of the ZScore and what it can be telling you, please see:https://baseballfan999.wixsite.com/baseballdat/post/what-does-the-zscore-tell-you Most improved Team in 2nd half of season compared to their first half with comeback wins.
1st half (Mar-June) and 2nd (July - End) half side by side. The widest gap where Orange > Blue indicates most improved.
The figures based on this time frame 2012-2019
Green = Most improved AL "devil magic" team in 2nd half of season
Red = Most declined
Second Half Improvement:
Team ZScoreTotalImprovement
0 BAL 0.309413
1 NYA -0.331708
2 BOS -1.576333
3 MIN -0.902589
4 DET -0.071214
5 CHA -1.108643
6 CLE -0.047646
7 KCA 1.753471
8 TEX -0.436951
9 OAK 1.456801
10 TOR 0.045130
11 SEA 1.590023
12 ANA 1.578146
13 TBA 0.824261
14 HOU -3.082162
Total wins and Late Inn rally wins for first half and second half of season
Team FirstHalfTotW FirstHalfRallyW SecondHalfTotW SecondHalfRallyW
0 BAL 306 114 314 111
1 NYA 360 135 369 133
2 BOS 352 120 341 122
3 MIN 299 120 309 133
4 DET 304 109 302 113
5 CHA 288 121 288 112
6 CLE 336 108 370 104
7 KCA 295 111 325 133
8 TEX 349 131 308 120
9 OAK 334 114 350 129
10 TOR 316 118 312 122
11 SEA 319 112 311 123
12 ANA 327 115 329 121
13 TBA 326 107 347 116
14 HOU 316 123 286 94
Total losses and Late Inn losses for first half and second half of season
Team FirstHalfTotL FirstHalfBlownL SecondHalfTotL SecondHalfBlownL
0 BAL 335 126 341 115
1 NYA 275 95 292 109
2 BOS 298 93 305 126
3 MIN 332 126 356 145
4 DET 330 124 357 125
5 CHA 348 127 371 127
6 CLE 301 90 287 100
7 KCA 338 119 338 118
8 TEX 300 108 340 108
9 OAK 319 129 293 120
10 TOR 332 114 336 119
11 SEA 335 126 331 113
12 ANA 323 125 317 108
13 TBA 324 122 300 118
14 HOU 260 92 272 114
Team ZScoresRallyWinsFirstHalf ZScoresRallyWinsSecondHalf
0 BAL -0.408959 -0.750064
1 NYA 2.274834 1.295565
2 BOS 0.357839 0.272751
3 MIN 0.357839 1.295565
4 DET -1.047957 -0.564098
5 CHA 0.485639 -0.657081
6 CLE -1.175757 -1.400946
7 KCA -0.792358 1.295565
8 TEX 1.763635 0.086784
9 OAK -0.408959 0.923633
10 TOR 0.102240 0.272751
11 SEA -0.664558 0.365734
12 ANA -0.281159 0.179767
13 TBA -1.303557 -0.285148
14 HOU 0.741238 -2.330778
Second Half Won/Loss Spread over First Half Won / Loss spread:
Team FirstHalfImprovementZScores SecondHalfImprovementZScores
0 BAL -0.731439 -0.422026
1 NYA 2.173241 1.841532
2 BOS 1.112544 -0.463789
3 MIN -0.273558 -1.176147
4 DET -1.029001 -1.100214
5 CHA -0.239248 -1.347891
6 CLE 0.322791 0.275146
7 KCA -0.666358 1.087113
8 TEX 1.321946 0.884995
9 OAK -0.857449 0.599353
10 TOR 0.077852 0.122982
11 SEA -0.884066 0.705957
12 ANA -0.613123 0.965023
13 TBA -1.097621 -0.273360
14 HOU 1.383488 -1.698674
Team RallyWinsFirstHalf BlownLeadsFirstHalf RallyWinsSecondHalf \
0 BAL 114 126 111
1 NYA 135 95 133
2 BOS 120 93 122
3 MIN 120 126 133
4 DET 109 124 113
5 CHA 121 127 112
6 CLE 108 90 104
7 KCA 111 119 133
8 TEX 131 108 120
9 OAK 114 129 129
10 TOR 118 114 122
11 SEA 112 126 123
12 ANA 115 125 121
13 TBA 107 122 116
14 HOU 123 92 94
BlownLeadsSecondHalf
0 115
1 109
2 126
3 145
4 125
5 127
6 100
7 118
8 108
9 120
10 119
11 113
12 108
13 118
14 114
Team FirstHalfWPercentTot SecondHalfWPercentTot
0 BAL 0.506667 0.493333
1 NYA 0.503731 0.496269
2 BOS 0.495868 0.504132
3 MIN 0.474308 0.525692
4 DET 0.490991 0.509009
5 CHA 0.519313 0.480687
6 CLE 0.509434 0.490566
7 KCA 0.454918 0.545082
8 TEX 0.521912 0.478088
9 OAK 0.469136 0.530864
10 TOR 0.491667 0.508333
11 SEA 0.476596 0.523404
12 ANA 0.487288 0.512712
13 TBA 0.479821 0.520179
14 HOU 0.566820 0.433180
Here's the input data generated by the custom program designed to extract the scenario.Apr includes March reg season games. Sept includes Oct reg season games. Houston only included in 2012.
Team,AprW,AprL,MayW,MayL,JunW,JunL,JulW,JulL,AugW,AugL,SepW,SepL,AprW_LBY5Plus,AprW_LBY4,AprW_LBY3,AprW_LBY2,AprW_LBY1,MayW_LBY5Plus,MayW_LBY4,MayW_LBY3,MayW_LBY2,MayW_LBY1,JunW_LBY5Plus,JunW_LBY4,JunW_LBY3,JunW_LBY2,JunW_LBY1,JulW_LBY5Plus,JulW_LBY4,JulW_LBY3,JulW_LBY2,JulW_LBY1,AugW_LBY5Plus,AugW_LBY4,AugW_LBY3,AugW_LBY2,AugW_LBY1,SepW_LBY5Plus,SepW_LBY4,SepW_LBY3,SepW_LBY2,SepW_LBY1,AprL_WBY5Plus,AprL_WBY4,AprL_WBY3,AprL_WBY2,AprL_WBY1,MayL_WBY5Plus,MayL_WBY4,MayL_WBY3,MayL_WBY2,MayL_WBY1,JunL_WBY5Plus,JunL_WBY4,JunL_WBY3,JunL_WBY2,JunL_WBY1,JulL_WBY5Plus,JulL_WBY4,JulL_WBY3,JulL_WBY2,JulL_WBY1,AugL_WBY5Plus,AugL_WBY4,AugL_WBY3,AugL_WBY2,AugL_WBY1,SepL_WBY5Plus,SepL_WBY4,SepL_WBY3,SepL_WBY2,SepL_WBY1
BAL,99,99,101,124,106,112,98,105,107,117,109,119,2,1,4,13,19,1,2,8,12,16,1,2,6,9,18,2,2,3,8,21,2,4,2,14,15,1,1,9,11,16,2,1,6,9,17,2,2,6,12,26,0,1,5,8,29,1,0,2,7,22,2,1,3,13,20,2,1,7,9,25
NYA,115,83,124,97,121,95,114,90,129,100,126,102,3,0,7,8,24,1,0,3,14,28,0,5,5,9,28,3,0,5,18,25,0,2,8,9,19,0,2,10,5,27,1,1,2,10,17,0,1,3,6,19,0,4,3,13,15,1,1,5,9,21,1,1,5,12,13,2,3,7,4,24
BOS,115,88,121,107,116,103,109,94,119,104,113,107,3,3,5,16,16,1,2,7,13,18,2,2,5,8,19,1,3,7,6,17,4,2,7,12,18,3,3,11,10,18,1,3,5,10,11,1,2,5,7,25,2,2,1,4,14,0,1,4,7,26,2,1,12,17,19,1,0,2,13,21
MIN,84,105,113,110,102,117,96,109,107,123,106,124,1,0,4,15,16,1,1,6,12,20,0,1,3,11,29,2,0,5,7,22,2,2,2,17,28,0,2,7,9,28,0,2,4,14,24,2,2,2,16,19,0,2,6,9,24,2,3,1,20,27,2,3,4,10,26,1,2,5,12,27
DET,104,90,105,124,95,116,101,105,103,124,98,128,0,2,4,7,22,1,1,5,10,24,1,2,5,7,18,1,1,3,6,26,2,2,6,14,18,1,1,3,8,21,2,0,0,13,13,0,2,11,16,17,2,1,4,14,29,2,1,3,12,22,3,0,6,7,26,0,1,5,7,30
CHA,93,102,107,122,88,124,85,116,107,121,96,134,1,2,5,13,15,1,2,2,19,25,1,2,1,10,22,2,1,2,12,18,1,1,8,18,18,0,2,4,8,17,0,1,3,7,19,3,3,3,14,19,4,4,8,11,28,1,2,4,8,20,0,2,6,14,32,1,0,6,8,23
CLE,95,98,122,108,119,95,112,90,121,106,137,91,1,1,2,10,12,1,2,5,13,19,2,0,2,9,29,0,1,5,10,21,2,1,4,5,21,0,1,2,8,23,1,2,3,6,13,1,2,3,11,22,0,0,4,5,17,2,1,4,11,13,0,1,2,8,23,0,0,5,11,19
KCA,84,112,104,120,107,106,93,113,119,109,113,116,0,2,1,9,20,2,3,4,9,20,1,2,6,12,20,1,2,1,12,20,1,1,1,8,37,1,0,7,13,28,0,2,7,14,18,1,0,9,7,29,0,0,2,13,17,0,0,9,10,22,2,2,4,13,18,0,2,6,8,22
TEX,106,99,122,105,121,96,74,125,126,97,108,118,2,0,7,13,16,1,2,4,18,22,1,2,4,18,21,0,1,7,4,20,3,3,2,16,26,0,0,7,10,21,3,4,5,8,11,2,2,5,8,21,3,1,3,6,26,2,5,5,6,23,2,0,3,12,16,0,2,6,12,14
OAK,106,107,108,115,120,97,115,84,113,107,122,102,3,0,3,11,16,1,3,2,10,22,2,3,6,13,19,2,4,5,11,30,2,0,1,6,26,0,4,4,11,23,3,1,5,11,16,0,3,5,9,31,2,2,7,10,24,1,1,4,11,21,3,2,6,13,18,0,5,7,10,18
TOR,94,113,112,116,110,103,97,106,106,115,109,115,1,4,2,10,18,2,2,2,12,27,3,1,7,11,16,3,1,5,8,24,3,2,8,8,19,2,1,5,11,22,2,1,4,15,18,0,3,6,10,22,0,2,4,9,18,4,2,5,5,19,1,5,2,13,23,0,2,6,14,18
SEA,102,106,110,116,107,113,99,100,108,113,104,118,1,2,5,12,16,0,3,3,12,19,1,1,2,14,21,1,1,6,11,21,2,3,5,14,26,1,3,4,7,18,4,0,5,14,21,0,4,3,14,20,2,0,5,9,25,1,2,1,12,22,3,3,6,9,16,2,0,5,6,25
ANA,96,111,121,107,110,105,105,93,107,117,117,107,3,0,4,10,13,0,3,5,10,26,3,2,6,9,21,0,3,5,8,22,2,4,6,10,20,1,2,10,10,18,3,0,5,12,23,0,1,2,19,20,0,3,3,11,23,2,1,3,6,17,5,4,6,5,26,0,2,6,9,16
TBA,105,97,117,109,104,118,108,93,116,105,123,102,0,3,4,8,15,1,1,6,12,27,0,2,4,7,17,2,0,3,8,25,1,1,5,12,19,0,0,2,13,25,1,2,2,14,22,1,4,6,12,25,1,1,3,12,16,1,1,4,11,22,1,2,2,7,26,1,1,14,7,18
HOU,93,93,116,84,107,83,83,87,98,99,105,86,2,1,2,10,16,1,3,4,15,30,0,2,3,9,25,0,2,4,5,13,0,1,2,10,22,1,0,7,6,21,1,0,2,13,12,1,0,4,12,18,1,0,1,10,17,0,2,9,8,26,1,2,3,11,23,0,2,4,3,20
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