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While eligible for post season, late inn rallies NL Central 2013-2019

Updated: Feb 24, 2020

Our Criteria here: Win - a given team wins the game if they were losing/tied (in this order) in extra innings, 9th, 8th or 7th inning. Loss - a given team loses the game when they were winning/tied in extra innings, 9th, 8th, or 8th inning.


ZScore: is based on the population standard deviation and mean here. It tells you how many standard deviations from the mean you are. For wins, a positive ZScore is what you want as that relfects "you came back to win more than others". So 1.5 is better than 0.5. For the loss, a negative ZScore is what you want as that reflects "you did not lose your leads like others around the mean". So -1.5 is better than -0.5


Winner: Cardinals 1.79







The figures based on this time frame 2013-2019

Green Most improved "devil magic" NL team in the 2nd half of the season


Second Half ZScore improvement over First Half:
    Team  ZScoreImprovement
25  SLN           1.785680
21  PIT           1.360681
7   CIN          -0.014525
15  MIL          -0.173729
6   CHN          -0.208515


   Team  ZScoreImprovement  2ndHalfImprovement  1stHalfImprovement
25  SLN           1.785680            1.548881           -0.245067
21  PIT           1.360681            1.300996           -0.064901
7   CIN          -0.014525           -0.901330           -1.020249
15  MIL          -0.173729            0.041755            0.185358
6   CHN          -0.208515           -0.383741           -0.245067


   Team  Disp1stHalfLIW  Disp1stHalfLIL  Disp2ndHalfLIW  Disp2ndHalfLIL
25  SLN              57              61              74              54
21  PIT              62              63              66              47
7   CIN              58              73              40              55
15  MIL              61              58              53              52
6   CHN              57              61              55              60

Weighted..
   Team  1stHalfLIW  1stHalfLIL  2ndHalfLIW  2ndHalfLIL
25  SLN    1.686916    1.931983    3.365704    1.816822
21  PIT    1.995846    2.060748    2.677320    1.376324
7   CIN    1.746625    2.766874    0.983405    1.884735
15  MIL    1.931983    1.746625    1.726490    1.684735
6   CHN    1.686916    1.931983    1.859250    2.242991
   Team  1stHalfW  1stHalfL  2ndHalfW  2ndHalfL
25  SLN       305       255       330       244
21  PIT       289       273       295       276
7   CIN       260       303       248       323
15  MIL       285       284       283       283
6   CHN       292       267       318       258

The data file can be found here

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