top of page
Search
  • a fan

While eligible for post season, late inn rallies NL East 2013-2019

Updated: Feb 24, 2020

Our Criteria here: Win - a given team wins the game if they were losing/tied (in this order) in extra innings, 9th, 8th or 7th inning. Loss - a given team loses the game when they were winning/tied in extra innings, 9th, 8th, or 8th inning.


  1. ZScore: is based on the population standard deviation and mean here. It tells you how many standard deviations from the mean you are. For wins, a positive ZScore is what you want as that relfects "you came back to win more than others". So 1.5 is better than 0.5. For the loss, a negative ZScore is what you want as that reflects "you did not lose your leads like others around the mean". So -1.5 is better than -0.5

Winner: Mets 1.92








The figures based on this time frame 2013-2019 Green Most improved "devil magic" NL team in the 2nd half of the season

Second Half ZScore improvement over First Half:
    Team  ZScoreImprovement
18  NYN           1.923930
14  MIA           0.523440
29  WAS           0.089022
20  PHI          -0.247495
2   ATL          -0.922954


   Team  ZScoreImprovement  2ndHalfImprovement  1stHalfImprovement
18  NYN           1.923930            0.408737           -1.644860
14  MIA           0.523440           -0.487729           -1.138629
29  WAS           0.089022            0.246771            0.130841
20  PHI          -0.247495           -0.384182           -0.204050
2   ATL          -0.922954            0.296306            1.262721


   Team  Disp1stHalfLIW  Disp1stHalfLIL  Disp2ndHalfLIW  Disp2ndHalfLIL
18  NYN              61              83              62              56
14  MIA              56              73              50              57
29  WAS              64              62              57              53
20  PHI              64              67              46              52
2   ATL              84              68              54              49

Weighted..
   Team  1stHalfLIW  1stHalfLIL  2ndHalfLIW  2ndHalfLIL
18  NYN    1.931983    3.576843    2.362631    1.953894
14  MIA    1.628245    2.766874    1.536570    2.024299
29  WAS    2.126687    1.995846    1.996927    1.750156
20  PHI    2.126687    2.330737    1.300553    1.684735
2   ATL    3.663551    2.400831    1.792256    1.495950
   Team  1stHalfW  1stHalfL  2ndHalfW  2ndHalfL
18  NYN       258       303       305       268
14  MIA       242       321       244       325
29  WAS       307       257       325       245
20  PHI       251       316       256       311
2   ATL       291       275       278       289

The data file can be found here

10 views0 comments

Recent Posts

See All

Comments


bottom of page