Please see Disclaimer here regarding all of the results contained within all pages.
Our Criteria here: Win - a given team wins the game if they were losing/tied (in this order) in extra innings, 9th, 8th or 7th inning. Loss - a given team loses the game when they were winning/tied in extra innings, 9th, 8th, or 8th inning.
ZScore: is based on the population standard deviation and mean here. It tells you how many standard deviations from the mean you are. For wins, a positive ZScore is what you want as that relfects "you came back to win more than others". So 1.5 is better than 0.5. For the loss, a negative ZScore is what you want as that reflects "you did not lose your leads like others around the mean". So -1.5 is better than -0.5
"Which team in the AL Central had the BEST improvement between the first half of the season and the second half of the season between 2013 and 2019 with late inning rallies and late inning losses.
From July to the end of regular season:
2nd half inn Rally wins: Detroit Tigers: 1.12
2nd half late inn losses: Chicago White Sox: -1.384
If you want to see the significance again of the ZScore and what it can be telling you, please see:
https://baseballfan999.wixsite.com/baseballdat/post/what-does-the-zscore-tell-you The difference in won loss spread ((late inn win)-(late inn loss)) between 1st/2nd half of season. Orange means "The games they won by late inning rallies - games they lost in the late innings". Blue means "The games they won by late inning rallies - the games they lost in the late innings". Positive values are always good. Focus on the Orange ZScore (late inn win and losses) between 1st/2nd half of season. Positive value means "better in the 2nd half".
The figures based on this time frame (2013-2019)
Green: Most improved "devil magic" AL team in the 2nd half of the season in this division
Red: Most declined in this division
Second Half ZScore improvement over First Half:
Team ZScoreTotalImprovement
0 MIN 0.738127
1 DET 1.118846
2 CHA -1.472014
3 CLE -0.886176
4 KCA 0.501218
Total wins and Late Inn rally wins for first half and second half of season
Team FirstHalfTotW FirstHalfLateW SecondHalfTotW SecondHalfLateW
0 MIN 267 55 275 60
1 DET 266 63 252 56
2 CHA 246 65 245 60
3 CLE 297 57 341 62
4 KCA 260 66 288 66
Total losses and Late Inn losses for first half and second half of season
Team FirstHalfTotL FirstHalfLateL SecondHalfTotL SecondHalfLateL
0 MIN 287 67 305 63
1 DET 290 71 323 52
2 CHA 312 65 330 73
3 CLE 263 46 231 60
4 KCA 297 64 289 59
First and 2nd half improvement ZScores
Team FirstHalfImprovementZScores SecondHalfImprovementZScores
0 MIN -1.318 -0.343
1 DET -0.821 0.657
2 CHA 0.174 -1.771
3 CLE 1.542 0.371
4 KCA 0.423 1.085
Here's the input data generated by the custom program designed to extract the scenario.Apr includes March reg season games. Sept includes Oct reg season games.
Team,AprW,AprL,MayW,MayL,JunW,JunL,JulW,JulL,AugW,AugL,SepW,SepL,TotAprW,TotAprL,TotMayW,TotMayL,TotJunW,TotJunL,TotJulW,TotJulL,TotAugW,TotAugL,TotSepW,TotSepL MIN,16,19,17,31,22,17,16,19,20,20,24,24,78,89,101,94,88,104,84,95,98,104,93,106 DET,17,20,22,26,24,25,12,18,22,20,22,14,93,79,92,108,81,103,85,95,87,113,80,115 CHA,21,18,27,20,17,27,16,28,26,24,18,21,82,91,89,111,75,110,71,105,91,109,83,116 CLE,12,16,23,17,22,13,20,24,25,18,17,18,84,89,106,94,107,80,101,75,116,82,124,74 KCA,21,26,22,17,23,21,24,12,18,22,24,25,78,97,89,107,93,93,86,94,102,98,100,97
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