"You're losing the game at one point (could be first or 2nd inning) but come from behind and win -or- you're winning the game at one point but end up losing. Which team in the MLB / NL / AL had the BEST improvement between the first half of the season and the second half of the season between 1996 and 2019? A positive value indicates the team did better. A negative value, the team did worse.
If you want to see the significance again of the ZScore and what it can be telling you, please see:https://baseballfan999.wixsite.com/baseballdat/post/what-does-the-zscore-tell-you Most improved Team in 2nd half of season compared to their first half with comeback wins.
Note: this time period spans the same time period that those great Joe Torre Yankee teams as well as some of those great Billy Beane Oakland teams in the 2000-2002 time frame.
From the July to the end of the season
AL:
The best team: Oakland A's ZScore: 1.71
Oakland may have scored higher but you'll notice from the figures below that St. Louis had more volume of comebacks
The worst team: the Seattle Mariners - ZScore: -1.21
NL:
The best team: St. Louis Cardinals ZScore: 1.30
Oakland may have scored higher but you'll notice from the figures below that St. Louis had more volume of comebacks
The worst team: the Milwaukee Brewers - ZScore: -1.45
Comeback win zscore totals comparing first and 2nd half to each other. 1st half (Mar-June) and 2nd (July - End) half side by side. The widest gap where Orange > Blue indicates most improved.
The figures based on this time frame 1996-2019
Green = Most improved NL and AL "devil magic" teams in 2nd half of season
Red = Most declined
Second Half Improvement:
Team ZScoreTotalImprovement
0 BAL -0.450906
1 NYA 0.002996
2 BOS -0.656505
3 HOU 0.254374
4 MIL -1.452710
5 MIN -0.650013
6 DET 0.247445
7 CHA -0.198778
8 CLE 0.841293
9 KCA 0.348911
10 TEX -0.555080
11 OAK 1.710849
12 CIN -0.910027
13 SLN 1.297846
14 PIT 0.152291
15 CHN 0.775903
16 SFN -0.390979
17 SDN -0.572122
18 LAN 0.332698
19 PHI -0.206369
20 NYN 0.187170
21 ATL -0.374929
22 TOR -1.090997
23 SEA -1.211893
24 ANA 0.895403
25 WAS 0.541069
26 COL 0.454639
27 MIA 0.072711
28 TBA 0.655052
29 ARI -0.049342
Total wins and Late Inn rally wins for first half and second half of season
Team FirstHalfTotW FirstHalfRallyW SecondHalfTotW SecondHalfRallyW
0 BAL 895 351 901 334
1 NYA 1094 412 1192 454
2 BOS 1066 370 1075 403
3 HOU 954 358 1032 363
4 MIL 936 356 935 333
5 MIN 942 384 965 377
6 DET 882 321 895 328
7 CHA 958 365 962 365
8 CLE 979 340 1063 384
9 KCA 829 332 879 349
10 TEX 994 380 975 360
11 OAK 970 340 1063 398
12 CIN 911 357 945 351
13 SLN 1022 335 1109 387
14 PIT 885 341 887 330
15 CHN 927 325 998 346
16 SFN 997 371 1012 370
17 SDN 912 367 935 329
18 LAN 1033 379 1086 377
19 PHI 914 365 1010 392
20 NYN 956 341 996 343
21 ATL 1056 364 1085 366
22 TOR 951 355 970 359
23 SEA 979 359 946 353
24 ANA 1009 369 1022 394
25 WAS 932 335 957 336
26 COL 915 348 921 378
27 MIA 894 344 914 304
28 TBA 820 296 866 322
29 ARI 888 333 875 304
Total losses and Late Inn losses for first half and second half of season
Team FirstHalfTotL FirstHalfBlownL SecondHalfTotL SecondHalfBlownL
0 BAL 1005 393 1088 398
1 NYA 787 287 813 308
2 BOS 841 314 905 368
3 HOU 975 364 927 356
4 MIL 973 346 1043 391
5 MIN 955 351 1026 365
6 DET 1008 392 1099 396
7 CHA 940 386 1028 390
8 CLE 914 337 928 343
9 KCA 1063 397 1113 401
10 TEX 923 358 998 358
11 OAK 956 380 897 357
12 CIN 996 347 1039 382
13 SLN 885 342 871 336
14 PIT 1017 375 1095 363
15 CHN 972 348 991 342
16 SFN 924 348 954 360
17 SDN 1018 359 1024 349
18 LAN 894 318 875 297
19 PHI 992 331 971 361
20 NYN 949 362 986 360
21 ATL 866 300 879 319
22 TOR 979 343 988 395
23 SEA 939 339 1022 387
24 ANA 913 349 943 327
25 WAS 976 373 1021 356
26 COL 1005 365 1049 372
27 MIA 1023 401 1053 366
28 TBA 936 342 940 355
29 ARI 884 351 917 337
Team ZScoresRallyWinsFirstHalf ZScoresRallyWinsSecondHalf
0 BAL -0.094892 -0.810584
1 NYA 2.661492 2.984088
2 BOS 0.763654 1.371352
3 HOU 0.221414 0.106462
4 MIL 0.131041 -0.842206
5 MIN 1.396266 0.549173
6 DET -1.450490 -1.000318
7 CHA 0.537721 0.169706
8 CLE -0.591945 0.770529
9 KCA -0.953438 -0.336250
10 TEX 1.215520 0.011595
11 OAK -0.591945 1.213241
12 CIN 0.176228 -0.273006
13 SLN -0.817878 0.865396
14 PIT -0.546758 -0.937073
15 CHN -1.269744 -0.431117
16 SFN 0.808840 0.327818
17 SDN 0.628094 -0.968695
18 LAN 1.170333 0.549173
19 PHI 0.537721 1.023507
20 NYN -0.546758 -0.525984
21 ATL 0.492534 0.201328
22 TOR 0.085855 -0.020027
23 SEA 0.266601 -0.209761
24 ANA 0.718467 1.086752
25 WAS -0.817878 -0.747340
26 COL -0.230452 0.580796
27 MIA -0.411198 -1.759252
28 TBA -2.580156 -1.190051
29 ARI -0.908251 -1.759252
Second Half Won/Loss Spread over First Half Won / Loss spread:
Team FirstHalfImprovementZScores SecondHalfImprovementZScores
0 BAL -0.911050 -1.361957
1 NYA 2.973584 2.976580
2 BOS 1.289487 0.632982
3 HOU -0.102594 0.151780
4 MIL 0.232660 -1.220050
5 MIN 0.859930 0.209917
6 DET -1.676987 -1.429542
7 CHA -0.392768 -0.591546
8 CLE 0.006548 0.847841
9 KCA -1.495954 -1.147042
10 TEX 0.604141 0.049060
11 OAK -0.919749 0.791100
12 CIN 0.237367 -0.672660
13 SLN -0.232408 1.065438
14 PIT -0.785791 -0.633500
15 CHN -0.624151 0.151752
16 SFN 0.583315 0.192336
17 SDN 0.241359 -0.330764
18 LAN 1.439563 1.772261
19 PHI 0.792030 0.585661
20 NYN -0.505748 -0.318577
21 ATL 1.433576 1.058647
22 TOR 0.271036 -0.819961
23 SEA 0.462200 -0.749692
24 ANA 0.509275 1.404678
25 WAS -0.900203 -0.359134
26 COL -0.386628 0.068011
27 MIA -1.267130 -1.194418
28 TBA -1.256129 -0.601077
29 ARI -0.478782 -0.528125
Team RallyWinsFirstHalf BlownLeadsFirstHalf RallyWinsSecondHalf \
0 BAL 351 393 334
1 NYA 412 287 454
2 BOS 370 314 403
3 HOU 358 364 363
4 MIL 356 346 333
5 MIN 384 351 377
6 DET 321 392 328
7 CHA 365 386 365
8 CLE 340 337 384
9 KCA 332 397 349
10 TEX 380 358 360
11 OAK 340 380 398
12 CIN 357 347 351
13 SLN 335 342 387
14 PIT 341 375 330
15 CHN 325 348 346
16 SFN 371 348 370
17 SDN 367 359 329
18 LAN 379 318 377
19 PHI 365 331 392
20 NYN 341 362 343
21 ATL 364 300 366
22 TOR 355 343 359
23 SEA 359 339 353
24 ANA 369 349 394
25 WAS 335 373 336
26 COL 348 365 378
27 MIA 344 401 304
28 TBA 296 342 322
29 ARI 333 351 304
BlownLeadsSecondHalf
0 398
1 308
2 368
3 356
4 391
5 365
6 396
7 390
8 343
9 401
10 358
11 357
12 382
13 336
14 363
15 342
16 360
17 349
18 297
19 361
20 360
21 319
22 395
23 387
24 327
25 356
26 372
27 366
28 355
29 337
Team FirstHalfWPercentTot SecondHalfWPercentTot
0 BAL 0.512409 0.487591
1 NYA 0.475751 0.524249
2 BOS 0.478655 0.521345
3 HOU 0.496533 0.503467
4 MIL 0.516691 0.483309
5 MIN 0.504599 0.495401
6 DET 0.494607 0.505393
7 CHA 0.500000 0.500000
8 CLE 0.469613 0.530387
9 KCA 0.487518 0.512482
10 TEX 0.513514 0.486486
11 OAK 0.460705 0.539295
12 CIN 0.504237 0.495763
13 SLN 0.463989 0.536011
14 PIT 0.508197 0.491803
15 CHN 0.484352 0.515648
16 SFN 0.500675 0.499325
17 SDN 0.527299 0.472701
18 LAN 0.501323 0.498677
19 PHI 0.482166 0.517834
20 NYN 0.498538 0.501462
21 ATL 0.498630 0.501370
22 TOR 0.497199 0.502801
23 SEA 0.504213 0.495787
24 ANA 0.483617 0.516383
25 WAS 0.499255 0.500745
26 COL 0.479339 0.520661
27 MIA 0.530864 0.469136
28 TBA 0.478964 0.521036
29 ARI 0.522763 0.477237
Here's the input data generated by the custom program designed to extract the scenario.Apr includes March reg season games. Sept includes Oct reg season games.
Team,AprW,AprL,MayW,MayL,JunW,JunL,JulW,JulL,AugW,AugL,SepW,SepL,AprW_LBY5Plus,AprW_LBY4,AprW_LBY3,AprW_LBY2,AprW_LBY1,MayW_LBY5Plus,MayW_LBY4,MayW_LBY3,MayW_LBY2,MayW_LBY1,JunW_LBY5Plus,JunW_LBY4,JunW_LBY3,JunW_LBY2,JunW_LBY1,JulW_LBY5Plus,JulW_LBY4,JulW_LBY3,JulW_LBY2,JulW_LBY1,AugW_LBY5Plus,AugW_LBY4,AugW_LBY3,AugW_LBY2,AugW_LBY1,SepW_LBY5Plus,SepW_LBY4,SepW_LBY3,SepW_LBY2,SepW_LBY1,AprL_WBY5Plus,AprL_WBY4,AprL_WBY3,AprL_WBY2,AprL_WBY1,MayL_WBY5Plus,MayL_WBY4,MayL_WBY3,MayL_WBY2,MayL_WBY1,JunL_WBY5Plus,JunL_WBY4,JunL_WBY3,JunL_WBY2,JunL_WBY1,JulL_WBY5Plus,JulL_WBY4,JulL_WBY3,JulL_WBY2,JulL_WBY1,AugL_WBY5Plus,AugL_WBY4,AugL_WBY3,AugL_WBY2,AugL_WBY1,SepL_WBY5Plus,SepL_WBY4,SepL_WBY3,SepL_WBY2,SepL_WBY1
BAL,295,296,307,354,293,355,284,340,315,365,302,383,5,4,17,42,54,5,10,19,35,47,4,7,14,39,49,5,7,9,24,61,7,6,10,36,51,4,4,21,30,59,6,9,17,29,44,6,5,18,41,79,5,8,16,36,74,3,7,12,37,67,5,4,12,36,72,5,6,19,36,77
NYA,340,245,376,282,378,260,385,240,406,288,401,285,5,4,13,32,65,6,7,16,40,77,4,11,19,35,78,4,2,21,45,83,5,8,17,43,65,4,9,19,34,95,1,7,13,30,51,5,7,9,24,44,3,6,11,32,44,2,1,13,28,50,2,6,12,30,52,6,4,19,23,60
BOS,336,255,378,293,352,293,340,286,375,303,360,316,5,11,19,41,46,7,5,14,39,70,6,4,20,34,49,1,15,19,31,64,6,14,22,37,63,5,10,18,37,61,3,5,16,29,46,3,10,18,29,57,9,5,16,19,49,0,8,13,29,70,4,6,20,42,54,3,2,12,35,70
HOU,291,310,336,345,327,320,318,302,360,320,354,305,4,2,9,30,55,4,7,14,46,68,1,6,12,29,71,2,4,13,22,64,2,4,13,39,71,3,6,19,29,72,2,3,14,31,63,4,6,12,36,68,2,7,20,35,61,1,9,24,27,56,2,9,12,31,67,1,5,12,24,76
MIL,294,304,320,351,322,318,292,349,311,353,332,341,1,5,17,24,63,3,7,24,28,62,3,5,15,43,56,1,8,16,31,51,1,5,11,26,55,4,6,11,34,73,2,5,13,27,62,3,6,11,41,54,4,4,13,22,79,8,8,12,42,66,4,8,15,40,69,3,2,16,27,71
MIN,286,299,327,336,329,320,321,308,323,361,321,357,6,11,12,37,62,7,6,15,34,67,1,3,18,35,70,5,9,17,36,60,4,8,15,31,61,2,5,14,24,86,2,5,10,33,58,5,6,16,35,57,2,5,14,26,77,4,5,7,46,54,3,4,13,33,60,2,10,18,39,67
DET,269,316,310,353,303,339,303,329,299,385,293,385,1,8,12,24,45,7,4,15,28,57,3,3,10,33,71,5,4,15,23,62,4,7,14,28,54,4,10,14,32,52,5,4,12,35,60,3,6,24,37,60,2,8,15,37,84,9,5,13,33,70,8,4,16,29,75,7,4,13,32,78
CHA,295,288,330,339,333,313,297,325,335,355,330,348,4,5,16,37,52,1,4,16,39,68,5,9,13,35,61,5,3,11,41,53,5,4,24,30,65,3,4,17,36,64,2,4,13,28,64,6,6,13,39,68,5,6,20,35,77,1,7,17,34,66,0,7,20,35,73,4,4,16,36,70
CLE,293,284,361,307,325,323,316,310,371,307,376,311,6,3,9,31,39,8,3,21,46,56,4,3,19,27,65,4,5,14,29,66,8,4,16,27,83,2,4,20,40,62,7,5,12,31,44,4,6,11,32,73,8,4,22,23,55,5,6,12,35,54,3,7,18,33,50,2,2,18,37,61
KCA,245,338,281,387,303,338,270,364,298,387,311,362,4,5,11,22,58,4,9,19,32,52,5,6,15,29,61,5,5,9,29,63,1,5,9,24,73,8,3,21,32,62,3,8,17,40,57,9,6,24,40,69,1,10,13,37,63,5,5,26,27,64,8,9,25,37,66,4,8,18,32,67
TEX,305,296,359,309,330,318,291,330,356,328,328,340,3,3,15,28,56,6,7,14,46,71,1,14,16,38,62,4,7,17,38,48,7,9,15,36,59,2,4,20,32,62,5,14,16,29,46,6,5,14,27,60,5,4,18,34,75,7,9,17,35,66,5,7,13,27,59,5,8,19,27,54
OAK,303,309,313,352,354,295,335,287,369,307,359,303,4,7,13,34,53,5,5,7,27,55,4,3,16,31,76,5,10,18,40,72,5,5,15,30,70,5,9,16,32,66,3,5,16,33,60,5,10,19,27,76,4,6,15,32,69,6,3,13,32,70,6,5,13,34,62,1,9,11,37,55
CIN,278,320,328,342,305,334,302,325,325,359,318,355,2,14,12,26,55,3,8,17,39,55,6,8,10,28,74,6,7,16,31,61,5,5,12,30,58,3,9,17,27,64,6,6,16,30,50,5,4,9,39,66,6,9,11,29,61,6,3,23,28,62,2,11,16,39,59,2,9,10,33,79
SLN,341,257,353,312,328,316,346,279,386,294,377,298,4,8,16,30,62,4,4,9,33,63,3,5,10,28,56,5,4,14,39,58,6,5,22,42,63,2,7,14,33,73,1,7,17,30,51,3,6,17,31,59,3,5,15,36,61,5,5,10,35,57,2,6,9,27,49,4,5,13,41,68
PIT,272,316,318,356,295,345,306,320,285,396,296,379,2,3,8,31,56,6,12,16,36,56,2,7,16,32,58,2,4,13,33,68,3,8,6,28,60,2,4,11,22,66,1,6,20,32,58,5,3,12,33,74,9,8,16,39,59,5,2,16,28,59,2,4,17,45,62,5,6,13,30,69
CHN,289,296,324,337,314,339,332,296,326,358,340,337,2,3,20,26,49,2,3,8,25,71,4,2,20,24,66,6,5,15,30,64,3,6,14,22,64,4,6,9,25,73,3,7,12,30,57,2,5,26,42,54,1,6,10,42,51,5,2,9,31,60,6,7,12,32,59,2,5,18,34,60
SFN,315,286,348,322,334,316,313,310,350,330,349,314,4,6,16,38,57,4,4,15,29,74,3,7,24,28,62,0,5,11,34,82,1,7,11,35,65,4,5,12,42,56,7,2,16,25,57,2,6,10,39,60,4,7,11,33,69,4,2,11,27,58,5,8,8,34,75,4,6,15,31,72
SDN,282,331,333,340,297,347,290,331,340,334,305,359,6,4,13,32,55,4,3,13,40,74,6,6,15,28,68,6,3,6,31,57,2,7,10,32,67,6,3,8,31,60,0,5,13,28,70,2,1,10,36,65,3,3,22,39,62,4,3,11,30,69,2,2,10,33,58,2,3,13,36,73
LAN,336,273,363,304,334,317,345,274,379,298,362,303,3,7,18,26,59,1,9,13,30,74,3,7,18,43,68,3,2,15,21,67,4,6,8,38,83,6,3,18,35,68,2,0,18,27,62,2,5,12,32,65,1,5,15,26,46,3,5,5,25,56,1,6,16,20,66,5,3,6,30,50
PHI,288,303,339,329,287,360,328,298,338,334,344,339,6,11,12,24,57,2,6,20,41,64,3,5,18,38,58,4,6,9,40,65,7,6,12,41,66,5,10,16,36,69,7,5,12,27,46,2,8,16,32,60,4,5,17,40,50,4,3,12,28,58,9,5,18,32,77,3,10,13,33,56
NYN,312,280,336,332,308,337,321,302,341,341,334,343,1,3,10,24,74,2,8,9,36,71,3,3,18,28,51,7,4,10,32,56,4,5,10,30,61,4,7,7,37,69,3,8,8,24,57,4,9,10,27,71,1,3,22,41,74,2,5,8,24,64,4,7,13,40,61,2,5,19,31,75
ATL,325,272,383,292,348,302,356,266,372,303,357,310,3,4,10,29,63,5,6,13,35,73,2,6,19,37,59,3,2,10,33,73,2,4,15,28,79,3,5,17,26,66,5,2,12,27,55,1,3,8,35,55,2,6,13,36,40,2,8,8,24,55,2,5,10,30,62,6,4,16,26,61
TOR,281,326,353,329,317,324,297,321,324,347,349,320,2,10,15,31,62,4,7,16,33,74,4,3,16,24,54,4,5,15,24,62,4,3,24,39,56,2,3,19,33,66,5,9,17,38,58,3,5,12,28,65,2,4,16,37,44,6,12,22,30,61,6,13,17,25,68,3,3,26,35,68
SEA,316,290,320,345,343,304,296,330,325,350,325,342,3,8,16,41,60,4,10,16,28,57,4,6,9,33,64,4,2,11,33,68,4,9,13,37,63,3,7,16,31,52,6,6,8,30,54,7,8,14,38,56,4,3,15,25,65,3,10,14,34,71,6,5,22,31,61,5,4,21,27,73
ANA,301,306,357,314,351,293,334,286,340,337,348,320,4,6,12,26,48,7,10,16,35,59,4,12,21,42,67,3,10,17,37,69,6,7,17,32,62,3,7,18,37,69,6,4,14,34,54,3,5,17,48,51,2,8,11,30,62,2,6,10,26,47,8,8,16,24,72,2,4,18,30,54
WAS,288,311,324,348,320,317,277,344,339,344,341,333,8,2,10,26,51,2,5,8,41,69,6,5,11,30,61,1,5,15,21,50,7,12,15,30,51,1,3,20,39,66,4,5,7,31,68,1,8,12,40,72,1,8,12,36,68,6,7,8,27,77,5,4,9,31,74,6,6,10,24,62
COL,294,301,308,362,313,342,276,350,321,359,324,340,1,2,15,39,53,4,6,12,28,61,5,7,15,39,61,9,2,21,22,43,2,8,17,38,77,9,3,16,45,66,1,9,17,28,55,8,11,18,27,65,7,7,21,29,62,3,5,23,25,68,3,5,14,33,63,7,8,17,35,63
MIA,274,323,307,367,313,333,308,314,293,379,313,360,3,3,17,25,53,2,4,22,33,62,6,8,12,34,60,4,5,6,34,59,5,6,8,30,53,3,5,12,29,45,5,8,13,26,66,6,8,21,42,77,2,6,22,31,68,4,4,9,29,57,5,6,7,38,70,2,9,13,47,66
TBA,258,290,284,332,278,314,266,301,314,307,286,332,4,5,10,28,46,2,3,14,29,59,1,3,10,31,51,4,6,9,23,53,3,5,18,31,64,5,3,13,28,57,4,6,10,35,53,7,7,19,32,66,6,9,7,29,52,3,2,13,38,52,5,8,13,36,59,2,12,22,33,57
ARI,290,275,305,310,293,299,269,297,313,304,293,316,3,8,19,26,64,3,4,10,28,61,3,8,13,25,58,3,6,13,18,42,2,5,8,38,55,0,5,18,20,71,2,6,15,34,46,2,5,9,30,81,1,7,13,34,66,2,5,14,31,60,2,7,6,32,64,6,3,17,27,61
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