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Comeback Wins and Blown Lead Losses - 2017-2019 AL

Updated: Feb 20, 2020

We focused on this period because it's right during the alleged year(2017) that Houston was concluded (by the report) to have been taking part in the sign stealing scandal. It's also alleged that the 2018 Boston Red Sox used a sign stealing mechanism BUT that's currently under investigation.


Now it's important to note that they have not been concluded to have actually been participating in the in 2018-2019 in which no report has been filed as the commissioner's report only called out the 2017 season for the Houston Astros. Not the 2018-2019 seasons of the Red Sox or Astros.



"You're losing the game at one point but come from behind and win -or- you're winning the game at one point but end up losing. A positive value indicates the team did better. A negative value, the team did worse.

If you want to see the significance again of the ZScore and what it can be telling you, please see: https://baseballfan999.wixsite.com/baseballdat/post/what-does-the-zscore-tell-you

Legend and its meaning.

1stHalfCBW = Comeback Wins from March thru June

1stHalfBL = Blown leads for losses from March thru June


2ndHalfCBW = Comeback Wins in July thru the end of the regular season

2ndHalfBL = Blown leads for losses in July thru the end of the regular season

 

2017

Left to right: best to worst



The Figures (from the best to the worst). Best means the difference between wins-losses

Zscores
   Team   1stHalf   2ndHalf
2   BOS  1.759754  1.667801
6   HOU  1.904734  0.185503
7   KCA  0.529146  0.862945
0   ANA  0.037741  1.075595
14  TOR  1.298923 -0.520266
9   NYA -0.172333  0.716970
4   CLE  0.225131 -0.002232
13  TEX -0.510374  0.482790
1   BAL  0.434280 -0.807686
11  SEA -1.433515  0.911708
12  TBA -0.510374 -0.151279
8   MIN -0.674032 -0.218136
10  OAK -1.345429 -0.555334
5   DET -0.717982 -1.213095
3   CHA -0.825669 -2.435283

   Team  Best  1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
2   BOS    19          18          8          20         11
6   HOU     9          22         14          16         15
0   ANA     7          20         19          18         12
7   KCA     7          18         15          20         16
9   NYA     4          14         14          17         13
14  TOR     3          20         14          13         16
4   CLE     2          14         12          12         12
13  TEX     2          18         19          15         12
11  SEA    -1          14         19          21         17
1   BAL    -2          15         12          11         16
12  TBA    -2          18         19          12         13
8   MIN    -3          15         17          18         19
10  OAK    -8          13         18          14         17
5   DET    -9          16         18          11         18
3   CHA   -15          13         16          11         23

Weighted..
   Team      Best  1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
2   BOS  3.427554    1.306452   0.273504    1.746725   0.526087
6   HOU  2.090237    1.951613   0.837607    1.117904   0.978261
7   KCA  1.392091    1.306452   0.961538    1.746725   1.113043
0   ANA  1.113336    1.612903   1.542735    1.414847   0.626087
14  TOR  0.778657    1.612903   0.837607    0.737991   1.113043
9   NYA  0.544637    0.790323   0.837607    1.262009   0.734783
4   CLE  0.222899    0.790323   0.615385    0.628821   0.626087
13  TEX -0.027584    1.306452   1.542735    0.982533   0.626087
1   BAL -0.373407    0.907258   0.615385    0.528384   1.113043
11  SEA -0.521807    0.790323   1.542735    1.925764   1.256522
12  TBA -0.661653    1.306452   1.542735    0.628821   0.734783
8   MIN -0.892168    0.907258   1.235043    1.414847   1.569565
10  OAK -1.900763    0.681452   1.384615    0.855895   1.256522
5   DET -1.931077    1.032258   1.384615    0.528384   1.408696
3   CHA -3.260952    0.681452   1.094017    0.528384   2.300000
 

2018

Left to right: best to worst



The Figures (from the best to the worst). Best means the difference between wins-losses

Zscores

   Team   1stHalf   2ndHalf
2   BOS  1.584180  2.050908
14  TOR  0.674078  0.830481
10  OAK  0.366498  0.728320
6   HOU  0.579754  0.506105
9   NYA  1.260588 -0.226610
11  SEA  1.548956 -0.558327
0   ANA  0.188691  0.732450
8   MIN -0.728995  1.507680
12  TBA -0.543604  0.060144
13  TEX  0.343745 -0.830400
4   CLE -0.431976 -0.290231
3   CHA -0.603604 -0.802260
1   BAL -1.609041 -0.946019
5   DET -1.317809 -1.297924
7   KCA -1.311461 -1.464318


   Team  Best  1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
2   BOS    26          21          7          22         10
9   NYA    11          19          7          13         14
14  TOR    11          17         11          19         14
6   HOU     9          17         12          15         11
0   ANA     8          13         11          15          9
10  OAK     8          17         14          17         12
11  SEA     8          22         10           9         13
8   MIN     3          15         20          22         14
13  TEX    -2          16         13          11         16
4   CLE    -5          11         15          17         18
12  TBA    -5           8         14          12         11
3   CHA    -8          16         20          14         18
5   DET   -17          11         21          12         19
7   KCA   -18           9         20          14         21
1   BAL   -20           7         21          10         16

Weighted..
   Team      Best  1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
2   BOS  3.635088    2.013699   0.226852    2.180180   0.462963
14  TOR  1.504560    1.319635   0.560185    1.626126   0.907407
10  OAK  1.094818    1.319635   0.907407    1.301802   0.666667
6   HOU  1.085858    1.319635   0.666667    1.013514   0.560185
9   NYA  1.033979    1.648402   0.226852    0.761261   0.907407
11  SEA  0.990629    2.210046   0.462963    0.364865   0.782407
0   ANA  0.921140    0.771689   0.560185    1.013514   0.375000
8   MIN  0.778685    1.027397   1.851852    2.180180   0.907407
12  TBA -0.483460    0.292237   0.907407    0.648649   0.560185
13  TEX -0.486655    1.168950   0.782407    0.545045   1.185185
4   CLE -0.722207    0.552511   1.041667    1.301802   1.500000
3   CHA -1.405863    1.168950   1.851852    0.882883   1.500000
1   BAL -2.555061    0.223744   2.041667    0.450450   1.185185
5   DET -2.615733    0.552511   2.041667    0.648649   1.671296
7   KCA -2.775779    0.369863   1.851852    0.882883   2.041667

 

2019

Left to right: best to worst



The Figures (from the best to the worst). Best means the difference between wins-losses

Zscores

   Team   1stHalf   2ndHalf
6   HOU  1.709280  0.401376
9   NYA  0.783159  1.122276
14  TOR -0.039575  1.026842
8   MIN  0.184305  0.774866
13  TEX  0.473172  0.432082
4   CLE  0.876365 -0.082825
3   CHA  0.640907 -0.103032
12  TBA -0.588393  0.978638
11  SEA  0.077834  0.290634
2   BOS  0.879739 -1.207131
10  OAK -0.679854  0.346964
0   ANA -0.229011 -0.122022
7   KCA -1.716111 -0.399560
1   BAL -2.332245 -0.516419
5   DET -0.039575 -2.942690


   Team  Best  1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
6   HOU    14          22         10          14         12
9   NYA    12          19         14          15          8
4   CLE     7          16          8           9         10
13  TEX     5          17         14          15         13
3   CHA     4          16         11          11         12
8   MIN     4          14         13          19         16
14  TOR     4          12         13          17         12
11  SEA     1          15         15          17         16
12  TBA    -2          10         16          19         15
0   ANA    -4          10         13          13         14
2   BOS    -4          21         16           6         15
10  OAK    -5          12         18          20         19
5   DET   -14          12         13          11         24
7   KCA   -15          10         23          17         19
1   BAL   -21           7         25          13         16

Weighted..
   Team      Best  1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
6   HOU  2.110656    2.272300   0.450450    0.907407   0.651584
9   NYA  1.905436    1.694836   0.882883    1.041667   0.289593
14  TOR  0.987268    0.676056   0.761261    1.337963   0.651584
8   MIN  0.959171    0.920188   0.761261    1.671296   1.158371
13  TEX  0.905254    1.356808   0.882883    1.041667   0.764706
4   CLE  0.793539    1.201878   0.288288    0.375000   0.452489
3   CHA  0.537875    1.201878   0.545045    0.560185   0.651584
12  TBA  0.390245    0.469484   1.153153    1.671296   1.018100
11  SEA  0.368469    1.056338   1.013514    1.337963   1.158371
2   BOS -0.327391    2.070423   1.153153    0.166667   1.018100
10  OAK -0.332890    0.676056   1.459459    1.851852   1.633484
0   ANA -0.351033    0.469484   0.761261    0.782407   0.886878
7   KCA -2.115671    0.469484   2.382883    1.337963   1.633484
1   BAL -2.848663    0.230047   2.815315    0.782407   1.158371
5   DET -2.982265    0.676056   0.761261    0.560185   2.606335


 

2017 thru 2019

Left to right: best to worst






The Figures (from the best to the worst). Best means the difference between wins-losses

Zscores

   Team   1stHalf   2ndHalf
2   BOS  1.807107  1.019489
6   HOU  1.655470  0.593316
9   NYA  0.998002  0.811892
14  TOR  0.633075  0.649207
0   ANA -0.035987  0.902715
8   MIN -0.433708  1.091349
11  SEA  0.425879  0.106261
13  TEX  0.299177  0.013441
4   CLE  0.286383 -0.142257
10  OAK -0.553355  0.309866
12  TBA -0.809218  0.340806
3   CHA -0.166963 -1.496630
7   KCA -1.436295 -0.520524
1   BAL -1.803582 -1.132337
5   DET -0.865986 -2.546593


   Team  Best  1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
2   BOS    41          60         31          48         36
6   HOU    32          61         36          45         38
9   NYA    27          52         35          45         35
14  TOR    18          49         38          49         42
0   ANA    11          43         43          46         35
11  SEA     8          51         44          47         46
13  TEX     5          51         46          41         41
4   CLE     4          41         35          38         40
8   MIN     4          44         50          59         49
10  OAK    -5          42         50          51         48
12  TBA    -9          36         49          43         39
3   CHA   -19          45         47          36         53
7   KCA   -26          37         58          51         56
5   DET   -40          39         52          34         61
1   BAL   -43          29         58          34         48

Weighted..
   Team      Best  1stHalfCBW  1stHalfBL  2ndHalfCBW  2ndHalfBL
2   BOS  2.826596    5.294118   1.430060    3.454273   1.943028
6   HOU  2.248786    5.472059   1.928571    3.035982   2.164918
9   NYA  1.809894    3.976471   1.822917    3.035982   1.836582
14  TOR  1.282282    3.530882   2.148810    3.599700   2.644678
0   ANA  0.866728    2.719118   2.751488    3.172414   1.836582
8   MIN  0.657642    2.847059   3.720238    5.218891   3.599700
11  SEA  0.532140    3.825000   2.880952    3.311844   3.172414
13  TEX  0.312618    3.825000   3.148810    2.520240   2.520240
4   CLE  0.144125    2.472059   1.822917    2.164918   2.398801
10  OAK -0.243489    2.594118   3.720238    3.899550   3.454273
12  TBA -0.468413    1.905882   3.572917    2.772114   2.280360
3   CHA -1.663592    2.977941   3.287202    1.943028   4.211394
7   KCA -1.956818    2.013235   5.005952    3.899550   4.701649
1   BAL -2.935919    1.236765   5.005952    1.733133   3.454273
5   DET -3.412579    2.236765   4.023810    1.733133   5.578711

The data file can be found here

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